|In the following email and phone exchange the BLS does not dispute that their data indicates that 20% or more of U.S. computer programmers are either unemployed or have been displaced into another profession.|
From: Kim Berry
Sent: Tuesday, November 25, 2003 10:31 AM
Subject: RE: BLS: Where are the 150,000 programmers who "left the workforce"?
From: Kim Berry
Sent: Sunday, November 23, 2003 12:39 PM
Subject: BLS: Where are the 150,000 programmers who "left the workforce"?Please refer to the chart in this article, which is based on BLS statistics:It concludes that programmer unemployment is "only" about 7% because the number of programmers in the workforce has dropped by about 150,000 workers in the last three years.This is an odd presumption since a record number of foreign programmers entered the U.S. on nonimmigrant visas during this period - roughly another 100,000 in this workforce category.Unless BLS expects us to believe that the bulk of these workers have been promoted to managers - or retired to the south of France on dot-com stock options - then there should be 800.000 programmers in the U.S. workforce - with only 550,000 currently employed.This suggests that unemployment among computer programmers is (250/800) = 31% UNEMPLOYMENTCan you please explain why my reasoning is flawed, and why BLS excludes programmers whose benefits have expired as no longer part of the workforce?Sincerely,Mr. Kim BerrySacramento, CAwww.naea.us - boardwww.programmersguild.org - presidentcell: 916 213-0492